New Zealand Finance Minister on Iran war: Inflation could hit 7.4% (worst case scenario)

New Zealand January building consents

New Zealand Finance Minister on Iran war, Treasure forecastd:

  • inflation could hit 7.4% in 25/26 under worst case scenario
  • real GDP growth at 0.8% in 2025–26 under worst case scenario
  • forecasts unemployment at 5.7% in 2025/26 under worst case scenario of oil at $180/barrel

Adds:

  • New Zealand economic recovery is delayed, not derailed
  • High/y unlikely oil will hit $180

Best in 2026

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