RBNZ preview from Nomura
Nomura's preview for this week's RBNZ's policy meeting - monetary policy decision due 2000GMT on 11 March 2015
This is via eFX:
- The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) holds its next policy
meeting on 12 March and we expect it to keep its policy rate unchanged.
- We also believe the RBNZ will reiterate the neutral stance of its 29
January policy meeting, saying "future interest rate adjustments, either
up or down, will depend on the emerging flow of economic data",
confirming that it does not see a need to change its policy rate for
some time.
- We believe that the RBNZ will continue to say that, "while the
New Zealand dollar has eased recently, we believe the exchange rate
remains unjustified in terms of current economic conditions, particularly
export prices, and unsustainable in terms of New Zealand's long-term
economic fundamentals. We expect to see a further significant
depreciation."
- Our view remains that the RBNZ will keep rates unchanged until 2016.
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