From his speech here: Remarks to the Asia-Pacific Financial Market Development Symposium
Scroll right the bottom, and in the foot notes, this gem:
In aviation and, I imagine, in sailing, a good weather forecast is invaluable. My observation is that those weather forecasts are actually pretty good. Unfortunately, the same cannot be said for forecasts in economics and finance. This doesn’t mean we don’t set out on the journey – we have no choice – but it means we should do so with due care.
