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Central Banks
nzd 2222 21 April 2026
Central Banks

Recapping - NZD rises after CPI beat as markets price higher odds of May RBNZ rate hike

  • The inflation beat is clearly hawkish for rates and supportive for NZD in the near term. However, weakening business confidence and rising geopolitical risks complicate the outlook, suggesting the RBNZ may remain cautious despite market pricing. Expect continued volatility across NZD and front-end yields.
Eamonn Sheridan
just now
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Eamonn Sheridan
just now
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Central Banks
aud rba rate hike 17 April 2026
Central Banks

RBA breaks ranks, will hike again, as global central banks stay sidelined: RBC

  • Central banks seen holding steady (Reserve Bank of Australia excepted) as oil shock clouds inflation outlook.
Eamonn Sheridan
16/04/2026 | 21:36 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
16/04/2026 | 21:36 GMT
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Central Banks
aud update 14 April 2026
Central Banks

RBA’s Hauser warns of stagflation risk as energy shock hits economy.

  • Reinforces hawkish RBA bias—energy-driven inflation pressures likely to outweigh growth concerns in the near term, supporting yields and AUD while limiting expectations for policy easing.
Eamonn Sheridan
13/04/2026 | 22:41 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
13/04/2026 | 22:41 GMT
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Central Banks
Newsquawk Week Ahead
Central Banks

Newsquawk Week In Focus: US/Iran Talks, US Earnings Season, US PPI, and Chinese GDP

  • Next week's highlights include: US-Iran Talks (Sat), Hungarian Election (Sun), US Earnings Season, Chinese Balance Of Trade (Tue), US PPI (Tue), ECB Minutes (Thu), SNB Minutes (Thu), Australian Jobs (Thu), Chinese GDP (Thu), UK GDP (Thu), Iranian War Review, OPEC+ Review (Sun), US ISM Services PMI (Mon), Swedish Inflation (Tue), FOMC Minutes (Wed), RBNZ Policy Announcement (Wed), RBI Policy Announcement (Wed), US PCE (Feb) (Thu), BoK Policy Announcement (Fri), Chinese CPI (Fri), Norwegian Inflation (Fri), Canadian Jobs (Fri), US CPI (Fri). This also reviews events from the week just gone.
Newsquawk Analysis
12/04/2026 | 13:09 GMT
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Newsquawk Analysis
12/04/2026 | 13:09 GMT
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Central Banks
RBA
Central Banks

RBA March Minutes: Members agreed further tightening would likely be needed

  • The minutes are hawkish overall. The key point is not just the 5-4 split, but that all members saw further tightening as likely, with the disagreement centred on timing. That should keep May live, especially with oil still elevated, and supports the view that the RBA is not looking to cut and may yet need to hike further if inflation expectations start to drift.
Eamonn Sheridan
31/03/2026 | 00:30 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
31/03/2026 | 00:30 GMT
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Central Banks
Australian inflation expectations 31 March 2026
Central Banks

Australia confidence hits record low and inflation expectations hit record high

  • The record high in inflation expectations is the key signal. It reinforces the RBA’s hawkish stance and argues against cuts, despite weak sentiment. This strengthens the case for further tightening if inflation remains persistent.
Eamonn Sheridan
30/03/2026 | 23:30 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
30/03/2026 | 23:30 GMT
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Central Banks
rba Reserve Bank of Australia Australia Australian dollar aud 2
Central Banks

RBA weighs in, to lower costs for business

  • Limited direct macro impact. Marginal positive for consumers and small businesses via lower costs, while card issuers and payment networks may see fee pressure. No implications for monetary policy or near-term market pricing.
Eamonn Sheridan
30/03/2026 | 22:31 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
30/03/2026 | 22:31 GMT
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Central Banks
Newsquawk Week Ahead
Central Banks

Newsquawk Week In Focus: US NFP, ISMs and Retail Sales, EZ CPI, RBA Mins, and BoJ Tankan

  • Next week's highlights include the US NFP report, ISM Manufacturing and Services PMI, and Retail Sales data, as well as EZ CPI, RBA Minutes and BoC Minutes, the BoJ Tankan survey and Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI data. This report also includes a review of the week just gone.
Newsquawk Analysis
29/03/2026 | 20:52 GMT
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Newsquawk Analysis
29/03/2026 | 20:52 GMT
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Central Banks
rba neutral rate hikes 26 March 2026
Central Banks

RBA warns Middle East conflict may lift inflation and hit growth outlook

  • Reinforces a hawkish bias at the margin, with AUD and front-end yields supported as the RBA signals willingness to tighten further if inflation expectations rise despite growth risks.
Eamonn Sheridan
25/03/2026 | 22:48 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
25/03/2026 | 22:48 GMT
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Central Banks
rba rate hikes 2026 26 March 2026
Central Banks

NAB: Softer CPI unlikely to deter RBA, May hike to 4.35% still expected

  • AUD and front-end yields may stay supported as markets lean toward further RBA tightening, with softer CPI unlikely to shift expectations given rising energy-driven inflation risks.
Eamonn Sheridan
25/03/2026 | 22:44 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
25/03/2026 | 22:44 GMT
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Central Banks
aud response chart February 2026 cpi
Central Banks

Australia February CPI cools slightly, but energy shock clouds inflation outlook

  • Hawkish for RBA expectations, as inflation remains above target and upcoming energy-driven price pressures are likely to push inflation higher again.
Eamonn Sheridan
25/03/2026 | 01:02 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
25/03/2026 | 01:02 GMT
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Central Banks
aud update 24 March 2026
Central Banks

Australian inflation data due Wednesday, March 25, 2026. Preview.

  • Hawkish tilt. Near-term stability won’t deter the RBA, with rising energy-driven inflation risks reinforcing expectations for further tightening and supporting AUD at the margin.
Eamonn Sheridan
24/03/2026 | 03:22 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
24/03/2026 | 03:22 GMT
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Central Banks
aud Australia jobs report February 2026
Central Banks

Australia jobs surge masks softening as RBA tightening path stays intact

  • The mixed labour report is unlikely to derail the RBA’s tightening bias, with strong employment offset by rising unemployment and weaker full-time jobs, keeping focus on inflation and supporting expectations of further rate hikes.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/03/2026 | 01:41 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/03/2026 | 01:41 GMT
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Central Banks
aud rba jobs 19 March 2026
Central Banks

RBA warns Middle East conflict could trigger global shock and market repricing

  • The RBA’s warning reinforces a stagflationary risk backdrop, with higher oil prices lifting inflation while raising the probability of market volatility, higher yields, and tighter financial conditions globally.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/03/2026 | 00:39 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/03/2026 | 00:39 GMT
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Central Banks
Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate cycle 18 March 2026
Central Banks

RBA hikes to 4.10%. Split decision. Inflation risks & demand pressures. Where to now?

  • Hawkish at the margin given back-to-back hikes, but narrow split and external risks cap AUD upside; May hike remains live but highly conditional on data and geopolitics.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 22:05 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 22:05 GMT
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(Recap) NZD rose after a stronger CPI print lifted expectations for a May RBNZ hike, while bond yields jumped and business confidence weakened, highlighting a growing tension between inflation pressures and slowing growth.

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