RBA Minutes: USD could appreciate further vs. AUD when Fed hikes

Minutes of the RBA August monetary policy Board meeting

  • Accommodative policy setting remained appropriate
  • Economy adjusting to shift in activity in the resources sector, lower AUD assisting
  • Economic activity had generally been more positive over recent months
  • USD could appreciate further versus AUD and other Asian currencies when Federal Reserve hikes rates
  • Inflation expected to remain consistent with target over forecast period
  • Very low interest rates supporting strong growth in housing investment, consumption
  • Forward looking data pointed to further strength in housing investment
  • Recent measures to curb lending to investors should reduce risks to housing market
  • Would review coming data to judge if rates remain appropriate
  • China's response to recent stock market volatility had clouded Chinese economic outlook

Quick headlines via Reuters

Full text: Minutes of the August 2015 Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board

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Well ... nothing much to surprise here ... pretty much a reiteration of the post-meeting Statement and points covered in the SoMP

The bank has certainly stopped jawboning the AUD lower ... they note an obvious point that AUD/USD should fall when the Fed hikes (we'll see about that, won't we ... could be a 'buy the fact' if it happens in September).

AUD did very little, dropped a few points, and straight back up again as I update.

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Previews are here:

  • RBA August meeting Minutes today - preview of what to look for
  • RBA August Minutes due today - preview from NAB
  • RBA August Minutes due today - preview from RBS

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