Forex news for Asia trading Tuesday 5 July 2016
- Aussie election update. At least counting has started again.
- Australia - June new vehicle sales at a new record high
- Australia retail sales today - "retailers battle deflation"
- RBA meeting today - Goldman Sachs preview
- Japan Nikkei Services PMI (June) +49.4 (prior +50.4), Composite 49.0 (previous +49.2)
- Reuters: Central banks raised oversight of FX markets hugely in wake of Brexit vote
- China - Caixin Services PMI, 52.7 (prior 51.2) Composite 50.3 (50.5)
- Gold getting beaten down also
- Australia - Trade balance for May: Deficit of 2218m ( expected -1700m)
- Australia: Retail Sales for May: +0.2% m/m (expected +0.3%)
- Yen crosses lower again
- PBOC sets USD/CNY central rate at 6.6594 (vs. yesterday at 6.6472)
- NZ - ANZ Commodity Price Index for June: +3.7% m/m (prior was +1%)
- China to ban news websites from using stories gleaned from social media
- Japan politics: Abe has election sewn up - best of a bad lot
- Yen a little stronger as Tokyo gets underway
- New Zealand - QV House Prices for June: +13.5% y/y (prior +12.4%)
- Australia Services PMI for June: 51.3 (prior 51.5)
- Australia weekly consumer sentiment: 115.8 (prior 116.8)
- More detail on 'China is likely to 'fine tune' monetary policy in H2'
- UK business getting more pessimistic after Brexit vote
- BoA Merrill Lynch say to sell GBP rallies - drop to 1.25 coming
- China Securities Journal reports China is likely to 'fine tune' monetary policy in H2
- NZIER reports NZ business confidence rises in Q2
- NZ budget surplus likely to be more than forecast
- Brexit - UK property fund says no to exit - bans redemptions
- Trade ideas thread - Tuesday 5 July 2016
- Reserve Bank of Australia meet today (announcement 0430GMT) - preview
- Australian government ministers a "hapless group of bedwetters"
- Greek fin min says the country will hit 0.5% of GDP budget surplus this year
- Preview: Australian dollar technical analysis ahead of the RBA decision
The moves we saw yesterday (gold, AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP higher) pretty much went in the opposite direction today. Just as yesterday it was difficult (for me at least) to pin reasons on the move, its pretty much the same today. Just opposite.
We did get a decent data flow today, Japan, China and NZ ... and overall the data painted a subdued picture, though China's Services PMI did excel - to an 11-month high. Details of the data in the bullets, above.
Back to FX.
USD/JPY (and yen crosses) were active as Tokyo got running, USD/JPY trading lower initially , halting for an hour or so and then hitting lower for the session again. AUD/JPY sellers were active, taking AUD/USD under 0.75 briefly before it stabilised. EUR/USD lost 30+ points from early highs, and cable gave up ground also, down 50 or so points at one stage.
Gold dropped too, from a degree of stability around 1350 to under 1340 at one stage to be around 1343 as I write.
The PBIC weakened the CNY today a little.
Still to come today we have the RBA announcement (0430GMT), with the consensus view being an 'on hold' decision from the bank.
Regional equities:
- Nikkei -0.80%
- Shanghai +0.40%
- HK -0.84%
- ASX -0.97%
Still to come: RBA announcement due at 0430GMT
- RBA meeting today - Goldman Sachs preview
- Reserve Bank of Australia meet today (announcement 0430GMT) - preview
- Preview: Australian dollar technical analysis ahead of the RBA decision