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Week ahead by Octa: central banks and NFP—the perfect storm

  • Octa guides traders through NFP backlog and global rate decisions amid high volatility.
OctaFX
16/12/2025 | 12:33 GMT
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OctaFX
16/12/2025 | 12:33 GMT
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Crude oil

Oil prices jump back above $100 after US-Iran negotiations breakdown, Trump's blockade

  • WTI crude oil gaps higher as US-Iran negotiations fail. The downside remains limited by escalation risks.
Giuseppe Dellamotta
13/04/2026 | 08:45 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
13/04/2026 | 08:45 GMT
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gold

Gold prices come under pressure after the first round of US-Iran talks fail. What's next?

  • Gold is consolidating near the recent highs but upside is being capped by the risk of another escalation in the US-Iran war. The price action might remain mostly rangebound until we get a new catalyst.
Giuseppe Dellamotta
13/04/2026 | 07:10 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
13/04/2026 | 07:10 GMT
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IRAN OIL 02-03

Oil prices surge after US-Iran talks collapse over the weekend

  • The start of the week sees oil prices jump back above $100 again
Justin Low
13/04/2026 | 04:34 GMT
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Justin Low
13/04/2026 | 04:34 GMT
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15/12/2025 | 12:35 GMT
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Gold tumbles lower today on the back of higher yields and the higher USD
oil gap 13 April 2026

Some retracement gap filling happening in Asia trade. But not for oil.

  • Oil gapped up, risk gapped down in early Monday trade after US-Iran talks collapsed on the weekend.
Eamonn Sheridan
13/04/2026 | 02:02 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
13/04/2026 | 02:02 GMT
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inr update india fuel crisis 13 April 2026

Fuel caps emerge in India as war-driven supply concerns ripple downstream.

  • Jio-bp has reportedly capped fuel sales at 50L per customer, impacting diesel-heavy transport users. While the firm denies restrictions, the move signals tightening supply conditions amid ongoing Middle East disruptions.
Eamonn Sheridan
13/04/2026 | 00:46 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
13/04/2026 | 00:46 GMT
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oil update 222 13 April 2026

Floating oil storage plunges, but renewed escalation in uncertainty dates the data

  • The draw signals easing bottlenecks, though geopolitical risks keep oil markets sensitive.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 22:56 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 22:56 GMT
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15/12/2025 | 12:24 GMT
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15/12/2025 | 12:24 GMT
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gap higher oil iran 13 April 2026

Trump's latest genius plan is to resume strikes on Iran ('cause its worked so well so far)

  • That comment in brackets is sarcastic BTW
Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 22:20 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 22:20 GMT
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oil gap higher 13 April 2026

Futures trade has opened on Globex, oil surges higher, equities slammed lower

  • Gaps all over markets
Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 22:10 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 22:10 GMT
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trump Send in troops

Trump flags prolonged fuel price pain, through November!, as US escalates Iran blockade

  • Trump signals fuel prices will stay elevated as the US escalates pressure on Iran via a targeted Hormuz blockade. The war’s economic impact is feeding into political risks ahead of midterms, with strategy and effectiveness under scrutiny.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 21:55 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 21:55 GMT
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UF
15/12/2025 | 09:33 GMT
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UF
15/12/2025 | 09:33 GMT
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Iran USA

Iran’s foreign minister complaining about the US side in negotiations. As expected.

  • Whining and bitching. All as bad as each other this lot.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 21:41 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 21:41 GMT
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oil tanker at sunset

US to enforce Iran port blockade while keeping Hormuz transit open

  • The US is imposing a targeted maritime blockade on Iranian ports while keeping Hormuz open for global transit, escalating pressure on Tehran without triggering a full-scale energy shock—yet raising risks of retaliation and miscalculation.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 21:01 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 21:01 GMT
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Strait of Hormuz 10 April 2026

Hopium: A second round of US-Iran talks could be held within days (WSJ cite officials)

  • Hormuz, uranium, funds stall US–Iran deal as ceasefire clock ticks
Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 20:40 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/04/2026 | 20:40 GMT
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24Yield
15/12/2025 | 05:51 GMT
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24Yield
15/12/2025 | 05:51 GMT
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Crude oil

Oil prices consolidate ahead of the US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad. What's next?

  • WTI crude oil bounced from a major support and it's trading near the $100 level ahead of the peace talks this weekend. The uncertainty is keeping the price action more rangebound.
Giuseppe Dellamotta
10/04/2026 | 08:29 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
10/04/2026 | 08:29 GMT
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OIL WTI CRUDE

The oil market faces a major reckoning if US-Iran peace talks fail

  • There's going to be a major scramble in the coming week should talks over the weekend turn sour
Justin Low
10/04/2026 | 08:21 GMT
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Justin Low
10/04/2026 | 08:21 GMT
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gas station

Japan to release more oil reserves, shift supply away from Hormuz routes

  • While reserve releases may ease near-term supply concerns, the broader shift toward rerouting and diversification underscores persistent structural tightness. This supports elevated risk premium in oil and highlights ongoing fragility in global energy logistics.
Eamonn Sheridan
10/04/2026 | 02:31 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
10/04/2026 | 02:31 GMT
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CentFX
11/12/2025 | 07:12 GMT
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11/12/2025 | 07:12 GMT
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mexico refinery fire 10 April 2026

Massive Dos Bocas fire adds refining risk. Mexico’s flagship refinery stays below capacity

  • The direct global supply hit is likely limited, but the event is supportive for crude and especially refined-product risk premium because it adds to the broader theme of constrained refining capacity and thin operational buffers.
Eamonn Sheridan
09/04/2026 | 23:46 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
09/04/2026 | 23:46 GMT
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Trump Bessent Lutnick

White House warns staff not to bet on Iran war, raises (lack of) ethics concerns

  • The episode raises broader concerns about market integrity and information asymmetry. While not directly market-moving, it adds a layer of uncertainty around positioning, particularly in oil and event-driven trades, and may accelerate regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets.
Eamonn Sheridan
09/04/2026 | 22:14 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
09/04/2026 | 22:14 GMT
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oil chart update 10 April 2026

Trump touts oil flow recovery, but Hormuz chaos tells another story

  • The disconnect between rhetoric and reality keeps risk premium elevated in oil. Conflicting diplomatic signals reduce confidence in de-escalation, supporting crude, volatility, and safe havens while limiting downside in energy prices.
Eamonn Sheridan
09/04/2026 | 22:06 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
09/04/2026 | 22:06 GMT
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OneRoyal
09/12/2025 | 12:36 GMT
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09/12/2025 | 12:36 GMT
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