Reserve Bank of New Zealand's own inflation model 2.8% y/y, down from 2.9% previously

  • RBNZ Sectoral Factor Model Inflation Index
rbnz sectoral factro inflation june 2025 2

The sectoral factor model is the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's own preferred inflation measure.

Earlier today we had the official CPI data from NZ:

The CPI result earlier supported expectations for another rate cut from the RBNZ and weighed on the NZD. This lower than Q1 result will also be supportive of that expectation. As will the drop in tradeable inflation I noted in the screenshot. Check out that link just above to the earlier data for an explanation of tradeable inflation, if needed.

rbnz q2 2025 inflation 21 July 2025 2

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