Reforms afoot at the Reserve Bank of Australia could complicate rate cut outlook

  • No imminent rate cut seems to be a lock though

The news hit yesterday that the controversial reforms to the RBA would be going ahead:

For a rundown on what the reforms are, check this out:

Reuters have a piece up saying:

In brief:

Australia's central bank is finally getting a major shake-up

changes include splitting the current RBA board into two groups with one dedicated to monetary policy and the other focusing on the central bank's governance and operations. Analysts are assuming the new monetary policy committee would have some new members, perhaps changing the outlook for interest rate cuts.

And cites Goldman Sachs:

  • "While our base case remains for the RBA to start cutting rates in February, the changes raise the uncertainty around the RBA's reaction function going forward given potential new board personnel"

I agree there will be some new uncertainty, but I think its fair to say that the Bank won;t be cutting in February. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock spoke overnight:

rba cash inflation rates 12 November 2024 2

Current cash and inflation rates from the RBA website.

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