RBA monetary policy statement due at the bottom of the hour

  • Reserve Bank of Australia Statement on Monetary policy (SoMP) due at 0030 GMT

Earlier preview here:

And, from the RBA meeting on Tuesday (Feb 1)

Eyes are on revised forecasts from the Bank in the SoMP. But, says NAB:

  • Given Governor Lowe’s extensive discussion around the forecasts earlier this week the SoMP is unlikely to be market moving. In that speech Dr Lowe said the RBA is still “prepared to be patient ” as they await more information on wages growth and the outlook and trajectory for inflation until they can conclude inflation is sustainably at target.
  • Interest rate rises starting later in 2022 were deemed “a plausible scenario”, but “it’s still quite plausible that the first increase…is a year or longer away ”.
Forecasts for the RBA include an end to bond-buying in February, rate hike 2022
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