Poll shows the consensus for a 50bp interest rate hike from the RBNZ next week

  • Reserve Bank of New Zealand announcement is on 13 July local time in NZ.

Via Reuters poll of analysts on expectations for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting next week.

  • a majority, 15 of 22, now expect the official cash rate (OCR) to reach 3.50% or higher by the end of this year
  • 20 of 22 forecast the RBNZ will hike by 50 basis points to 2.50% at its July 13 meeting with only two saying 25 basis points
  • 16 of 22 forecast another half-point hike at the August meeting
  • 14 of 18 respondents forecast the OCR to either stay steady at 3.50% or be lower by the end of 2023. The remaining four forecast it to climb to 4.00% by then.

RBNZ announcement is due at 0200 GMT on July 13:

Reserve Bank of New Zealand dates 2022

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