NZ finmin Robertson says despite the GDP data the New Zealand economy remains resilient

  • The New Zealand economy remains resilient.

NZ Finance Minister Grant Robertson comments, says that despite the GDP data the economy in New Zealand remains resilient.

The data, ICYMI, showed the economy shrunk in Q4 of 2022:

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On the data, Q3 was revised to 1.7% q/q from 2.0%.

  • Q4 came in at -0.6%, much worse than the -0.2% consensus expected and miles from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand forecast of +0.7!
  • consumption was flat
  • investment dropped

As you see above, expectations for the RBNZ April 5 meeting are being scaled back to a 0.25bp rate hike. If banking system ructions its not a stretch to think the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will pause in April.

rbnz dates 2023 2

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