Morgan Stanley expect a final rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia in November

Morgan Stanley on a Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike still to come:

  • The RBA now appears comfortably in data-dependent mode, with little suggestion that it needs to front-load the tightening that is incorporated in its forecasts
  • However, its inflation path suggests little room for surprises
  • As such, we now expect a final rate hike at the next forecast update in November, lowering our terminal rate forecast from 4.60% to 4.35%. The risk to our forecast is a more extended period on hold.

Comments come after the RBA left its cash rate on hold again this month:

Of the big four banks locally here in Australia, only NAB expect another rate hike:

ANZ, CBA and Westpac all expect the RBA hiking cycle is over.

rba cash rate vs. inflation 27 July 2023

RBA cash rate vs. inflation

Top Brokers

Sponsored

General Risk Warning
investingLive Premium
Telegram Community
Gain Access