Citigroup economists warn Australia’s growth could slow sharply,

  • Citing the rocketing coronavirus case count and shifting government strategy

Bloomberg (may be gated) with highlights of the note:

  • see the risk of a major hit to first-quarter growth that could cap the expansion at 1.3%, down from a base-case forecast of 2.3%
  • “Although we don’t expect the current outbreak to derail the economic recovery in 2022, there is early evidence that mobility has declined in recent weeks as COVID-19 cases spike, despite the fact that governments haven’t announced onerous restrictions.”
  • see the Reserve Bank of Australia announcing a further tapering of its weekly bond purchases at next month’s meeting
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