Analysts are unanimous that the RBNZ will hike cash rate by 50bp next week

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand statement is due at 0200 GMT on Wednesday 17 August. The Bank kicked off the hiking cycle in October last year:

rbnz 12 August 2022

Reuters polling shows 23 or 23 analysts surveyed expect another 50bp rate hike next week.

  • 22 of the 23 expect the cash rate to be at 3.5% or above by the end of this year

ANZ with what they expect:

  • "We think the data has been more unfriendly on the inflation front than they expected, but not enough to tip them over into a panic. Rates have been rising here for a year, so they are well into this cycle, and they have delivered quite a lot"
  • "cannot rule out they would go 75 if they really decided they needed to give the market a kick in the pants. At this point, we would not view it as particularly likely."

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