Stevens Optimistic But Sees Risks

The RBAs Stevens was surprisingly candid in today’s speech, just one day after the RBA decision.

– Notes how the rise of emerging markets is “is overwhelmingly positive for us in net terms” despite struggles in developed world.

– Says household demand may be dampened compared to early Aug assumptions

– Resource investment will not be dampened by recent events

– Outlook for global growth not as strong as three months ago

– It’s difficult to gauge the effects foreign QE may have on Australia

– Current state of anxiety in markets likely to persist in foreseeable future

The speech sounds like someone on the sidelines than someone considering cutting. No comments so far on AUD.

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