RBA preview from BNP

I've posted a couple of previews of the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy meeting already:

  • RBA meet Tuesday - what to expect (part 2 - this bank calling a rate cut)
  • RBA meet Tuesday - what to expect (part 1 - no change)

And Greg had his earlier:

  • RBA decision ahead. Levels to eye.

This from BNP (via eFX):

We expect the RBA to leave policy unchanged this week, in line with market pricing which currently assigns just 6% chance of a rate cut this week and only 11% by year-end. Commodity exporter currencies remain highly sensitive to the risk environment and, while we expect the USD to correct lower vs. the low-yielder currencies this week, the USD may hold up better vs. the AUD and CAD if the risk environment wobbles. Global equities continue to drive these currencies especially AUD & NZD.

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