RBA Nov meeting minutes: Next move in cash rate more likely to be up

The latest from the Reserve Bank of Australia

  • Next cash rate move more likely to be up than down
  • But no strong case for a near term move

More, Headlines via Reuters :

  • employment stronger than expected, unemployment to fall to 4.75% by mid-2020
  • members noted could be "more pronounced decline" in unemployment in the near term
  • members noted average real earnings had not risen for six years, remained a key uncertainty
  • increase in wages growth necessary for inflation to reach target range
  • impact of slow incomes growth, high debt "warranted close monitoring"
  • fall in A$ over 2018 likely to have been helpful for domestic economic growth
  • data pointed to further solid GDP growth in the Sept qtr, to avg 3.5 pct over 2018 and 2019
  • growth to be supported by accommodative monetary policy, stronger terms of trade
  • Sydney and Melbourne housing markets had eased, credit tighter than has been for some time
  • large pipeline of work, strong population growth to support housing construction
  • noted reports large housing developments finding it harder to get bank financing
  • trade protectionism remained a significant risk to the global economy
  • forecasts assumed a small negative impact on trading partner growth from tariffs

AUD pretty much non responsive to a perhaps slightly happier RBA.

ps. Please note that Governor Lowe will speak later, from 0820GMT

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