Preview of the RBA today and for the AUD - TD on 'trading the RBA'

This via TD on the Reserve Bank of Australia meeting today

TD and unanimous consensus expect the RBA to pause again at 1.5%

  • Aug and Sep statements were virtually identical
  • We see no reason for the RBA to deviate from the script

Recent data has confirmed the RBA's optimism

  • Annual GDP in Q2 expanded at the fastest pace in 6 years and the RBA's alternative measure of unemployment, the underutilisation rate, fell to 5yr lows
  • US-China trade tensions and consumption remain ongoing uncertainties

For the Australian dollar, TD scenarios

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