Morgan Stanley 's outlook for the RBA today, and AUD year end forecast

MS are with every one else - RBA on hold:

  • RBA watching the terms of trade, its strong at present but could change
  • Also watching employment data, will it weaken?

Those weakening could tilt the RBA more dovish in future

AUD/USD:

  • MS have 'fair value' around 0.70 by the end of 2017
  • But risks are it could fall further

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RBA due at 0430GMT .... some previews posted earlier:

  • CBA on the RBA today (quick preview) & AUD intra-day view
  • WPAC on the RBA today (quick preview)
  • AUD - RBA announcement due 0430GMT - on hold expected - more previews
  • AUD - RBA announcement due 0430GMT - on hold expected
  • Economic data due from Asia today - RBA policy announcement
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