More forecasts for RBA policy - "will keep rates at 1.5% until late 2019"

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More again from notes out overnight following Australian inflation data yesterday

Data:

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This now via Capital Economics:

  • Despite underlying inflation coming in slightly stronger than the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expected in the first quarter, the RBA will almost certainly leave interest rates at 1.5% at its next policy meeting on Tuesday 1st May.
  • And it may revise down its GDP growth forecasts in the following Friday's Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP).
  • Further ahead, we anticipate that the RBA will keep rates at 1.5% until late 2019 as GDP growth and inflation remain weaker than expected.
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