Barclays says no rate hike 'til 2019 for this central bank (OK, its the RBA)

The focus for Asia today I reckon might feature a EUR response to the ECB story overnight:

then follow-up

And I posted some responses here:

--

Barclays now, but not on the ECB, a note overnight on Australia and the RBA:

On the economy:

  • stubborn unemployment rate
  • high labour force participation
  • factors weighing on wage growth: spare capacity, inflation expectations

.... All unlikely to change in the near term outlook, even if economic activity picks up

On thus the Reserve Bank of Australia:

  • To stay with their cautious bias
  • Barc reckon the RBA is on hold through 2018
  • & rate hikes likely to begin only in Q1 of 2019
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