"AUD: RBA unlikely to match market pessimism" - RBA preview

Some brief snippets from Barclays on the Reserve Bank of Australia meeting today:

RBA decision (Tuesday) and Statement on Monetary Policy (Friday) are unlikely to support market pricing of 15bp of cuts over the next year.

  • Policymakers are unlikely to signal any major shift in policy stance but instead will likely sound cautious and data dependent.
  • We expect the RBA to downgrade its growth and inflation forecasts for 2019, on account of the weaker external backdrop and lower commodity prices.

Earlier previews:

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