ANZ change their call on the RBNZ, forecast a rate cut in Nov of 2019

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand to cut the cash rate this time next year says ANZ on an updated forecast

ANZ expect two more cuts after that

  • both in early 2020, which will take the cash rate to 1.0%

More (comment from ANZ) :

  • There are multiple drivers of this changed call but in short they come down to a weaker outlook for medium-term inflation, risks around global growth and liquidity, and the proposed capital changes for banks. Our view of the New Zealand growth outlook has not materially changed.

More :

  • The RBNZ is likely to conclude that economic momentum is insufficient to deliver inflation sustainably at the midpoint
  • Global downside growth risks.
  • Global liquidity risks.

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The ANZ update follows a bog miss on GDP data result earlier in the session:

more to come

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