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rbnz inflation expectations 12 February 2026
Central Banks

Westpac sees lift in NZ inflation expectations ahead of February RBNZ meeting

  • If two-year expectations rise meaningfully, NZD and front-end yields could firm as markets reassess easing odds. Stable longer-term expectations would keep the policy outlook balanced ahead of the 18 February meeting.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 21:47 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 21:47 GMT
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News
economic calendar
News

Economic and event calendar in Asia Friday, February 13, 2026 - we hear from the RBNZ

  • Reserve Bank of New Zealand on inflation expectations
Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 21:14 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 21:14 GMT
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Central Banks
nzdusd chart update 11 February 2026
Central Banks

Westpac sees RBNZ holding OCR, nudging first rate hike to December 2026

  • A steady OCR decision paired with dovish guidance could limit near-term NZD upside, reinforcing expectations of a slow and cautious RBNZ tightening cycle.
Eamonn Sheridan
10/02/2026 | 23:20 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
10/02/2026 | 23:20 GMT
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Central Banks
aunzd chart coiling uptrend 09 February 2026
Central Banks

Kiwi dollar steadies as softer NZ data clashes with hawkish RBA

  • The NZD is consolidating after last week’s pullback, with softer domestic labour data pushing out RBNZ tightening expectations just as Australia’s hawkish RBA shift widens rate differentials. NZD/USD is holding above 0.60 for now, while NZD/AUD remains under pressure as policy divergence continues to favour the AUD.
Eamonn Sheridan
09/02/2026 | 01:04 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
09/02/2026 | 01:04 GMT
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Central Banks
RBNZ Gov Breman
Central Banks

RBNZ Governor Breman vows to return inflation to 2% after CPI edges above target band

  • The comments lean toward a “hold and assess” stance: the CPI surprise may curb near-term easing expectations, offering modest support to the NZD, but the emphasis on spare capacity and subdued wages suggests the RBNZ still expects disinflation to resume.
Eamonn Sheridan
23/01/2026 | 02:36 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/01/2026 | 02:36 GMT
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Central Banks
nzd New Zealand cpi q4 2025 response chart
Central Banks

New Zealand inflation rises above target as domestic pressures persist

  • The CPI surprise basically end near-term expectations for any further RBNZ easing, offering modest support to the NZD and reinforcing a hold-for-longer policy bias as domestic inflation pressures remain persistent.
Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 22:46 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 22:46 GMT
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News
New Zealand dollar daily chart update
News

New Zealand business confidence surges to decade high as recovery gathers pace

  • The QSBO strengthens the case for a prolonged RBNZ pause, reinforcing expectations that easing is complete while recovery momentum builds into 2026.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/01/2026 | 21:06 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/01/2026 | 21:06 GMT
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Central Banks
nomura fed forecast uSD weak 24 December 2025 2
Central Banks

Nomura flags Asia policy split as Fed seen cutting twice in 2026

  • Nomura’s outlook suggests Asian rate differentials could widen internally even as the region decouples from expected U.S. easing, with implications for FX and regional bond markets.
Eamonn Sheridan
24/12/2025 | 03:18 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
24/12/2025 | 03:18 GMT
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Central Banks
rbnz breman Reserve Bank of New Zealand 24 September 2025 2
Central Banks

RBNZ Governor Breman: If economy evolves as expected, current 2.5% rate likely remains

  • Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Ann Breman does hint at a (low probability) further rate cut though.
Eamonn Sheridan
15/12/2025 | 02:05 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
15/12/2025 | 02:05 GMT
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Central Banks
new zealand trade
Central Banks

NZD forecast downgraded as NZIER cuts near-term growth outlook

  • The downgrade reinforces a bearish near-term NZD narrative, with limited yield support and slow growth likely to keep the currency under pressure despite improving medium-term fundamentals.
Eamonn Sheridan
14/12/2025 | 23:12 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
14/12/2025 | 23:12 GMT
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Central Banks
rbnz
Central Banks

RBNZ files civil proceedings against ASB over Anti-Money Laundering breaches

  • The action underscores ongoing regulatory scrutiny of New Zealand banks’ AML controls, though the financial impact on ASB is limited and unlikely to have broader market implications.
Eamonn Sheridan
14/12/2025 | 21:56 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
14/12/2025 | 21:56 GMT
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Central Banks
RBNZ Gov Breman
Central Banks

Breman: Recent rate cuts will improve growth in New Zealand

  • More comments from Breman
Adam Button
01/12/2025 | 22:03 GMT
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Adam Button
01/12/2025 | 22:03 GMT
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Central Banks
rbnz breman Reserve Bank of New Zealand 24 September 2025 2
Central Banks

RBNZ Gov Breman: Key focus is to stay laser focused on core mandate

  • Comments from Breman
Adam Button
01/12/2025 | 21:19 GMT
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Adam Button
01/12/2025 | 21:19 GMT
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Central Banks
rbnz breman Reserve Bank of New Zealand 24 September 2025 2
Central Banks

Anna Breman takes charge at RBNZ, pledging focus and credibility

  • A steadier leadership tone from Breman may reduce policy volatility ahead, though markets expect near-term uncertainty as investors gauge how the new governor balances inflation control with a fragile economy.
Eamonn Sheridan
01/12/2025 | 04:05 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
01/12/2025 | 04:05 GMT
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Central Banks
nzd rbnz 27 November 2025 2
Central Banks

RBNZ’s Hawkesby: Further rate cuts face “high hurdle” as easing cycle ends

  • Hawkesby says further rate cuts would require a major shift in the outlook, effectively marking the end of the easing cycle. He warns too much dovishness risks keeping inflation stuck near 3%, and says current projections support holding the OCR steady through next year.
Eamonn Sheridan
27/11/2025 | 02:21 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
27/11/2025 | 02:21 GMT
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