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Central Banks
rbnz inflation expectations 12 February 2026
Central Banks

Westpac sees lift in NZ inflation expectations ahead of February RBNZ meeting

  • If two-year expectations rise meaningfully, NZD and front-end yields could firm as markets reassess easing odds. Stable longer-term expectations would keep the policy outlook balanced ahead of the 18 February meeting.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 21:47 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 21:47 GMT
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Central Banks
nzdusd chart update 11 February 2026
Central Banks

Westpac sees RBNZ holding OCR, nudging first rate hike to December 2026

  • A steady OCR decision paired with dovish guidance could limit near-term NZD upside, reinforcing expectations of a slow and cautious RBNZ tightening cycle.
Eamonn Sheridan
10/02/2026 | 23:20 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
10/02/2026 | 23:20 GMT
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Central Banks
aunzd chart coiling uptrend 09 February 2026
Central Banks

Kiwi dollar steadies as softer NZ data clashes with hawkish RBA

  • The NZD is consolidating after last week’s pullback, with softer domestic labour data pushing out RBNZ tightening expectations just as Australia’s hawkish RBA shift widens rate differentials. NZD/USD is holding above 0.60 for now, while NZD/AUD remains under pressure as policy divergence continues to favour the AUD.
Eamonn Sheridan
09/02/2026 | 01:04 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
09/02/2026 | 01:04 GMT
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News
new zealand trade
News

New Zealand Commodity Price Index rose in January

  • The ANZ World Commodity Price Index is an indicator of price trends for New Zealand's 17 main commodity exports
Eamonn Sheridan
04/02/2026 | 00:20 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
04/02/2026 | 00:20 GMT
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News
nzd q4 unemployment rate 2025
News

New Zealand jobs report shows firmer hiring but unemployment edges to a 10 year high

  • The data supports a steady RBNZ stance, with subdued wages limiting near-term policy tightening expectations and keeping rate-hike pricing pushed into late 2026.
Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 22:35 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 22:35 GMT
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News
nzd chart q4 2025 employment report
News

New Zealand Q4 2025 unemployment rate 5.4% (expected 5.3%, prior 5.3%)

  • Just the data post
Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 21:45 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 21:45 GMT
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News
nzd December 2025 building permits 2
News

New Zealand December 2025 building permits down m/m but up y/y

  • Just the data post
Eamonn Sheridan
02/02/2026 | 21:51 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
02/02/2026 | 21:51 GMT
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News
New Zealand consumer confidence graph January 2026
News

NZ consumer confidence hits four-year high in January as retail gauge turns positive

  • A firmer confidence profile and a positive big-ticket purchase signal are mildly supportive for NZ retail and domestic cyclicals, but steady high inflation expectations and ANZ’s “par growth” framing keep the macro impulse modest rather than bullish.
Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 22:29 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 22:29 GMT
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Forex
westpac
Forex

Westpac trade recap: Doubling down on the antipodeans

  • Westpac Trade Update: Bullish AUD/NZD, Short USD into the RBA
Adam Button
29/01/2026 | 18:23 GMT
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Adam Button
29/01/2026 | 18:23 GMT
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News
New Zealand dollar update 29 January 2026 2
News

NZ business confidence eases from record highs as activity holds firm, inflation lifts

  • The ANZ survey supports a constructive near-term growth outlook but adds to concerns that inflation pressures could re-emerge sooner than the RBNZ expects, keeping rate expectations sensitive to upcoming data.
Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 00:18 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 00:18 GMT
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News
Kiwi rallied Wednesday US time chart 29 January 2026 2
News

New Zealand December 2025 trade balance +52mn NZD (vs. +30mn NZD expected)

  • Both exports and imports in December higher than in November
Eamonn Sheridan
28/01/2026 | 21:50 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
28/01/2026 | 21:50 GMT
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Central Banks
nzd New Zealand cpi q4 2025 response chart
Central Banks

New Zealand inflation rises above target as domestic pressures persist

  • The CPI surprise basically end near-term expectations for any further RBNZ easing, offering modest support to the NZD and reinforcing a hold-for-longer policy bias as domestic inflation pressures remain persistent.
Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 22:46 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 22:46 GMT
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News
Economic data
News

New Zealand Q4 CPI 0.6% q/q (expected 0.5%, prior 1.0%) & 3.1% y/y (expected 3%, prior 3%)

  • Data post only.
Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 21:45 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 21:45 GMT
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News
nzdusd retail sales update 22 January 2026 2
News

New Zealand core retail sales fell in December both m/m and y/y

  • NZD/USD is barely changed on the data.
Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 21:58 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 21:58 GMT
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News
NZDUSD hourly chart update New Zealand election November 7 2026 called
News

New Zealand’s prime minister Luxon said elections will be held on Saturday November 7

  • A fixed election date reduces timing uncertainty, but it lengthens the window for election-driven fiscal and regulatory signalling, a potential source of policy risk premia into late 2026.
Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 00:00 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 00:00 GMT
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