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Australian consumer inflation expectations have jumped to 5%
- Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflation Expectations in Australia
RBA to cut its cash rate in August & November 2025, then again in February and May 2026
- Westpac with an updated Reserve Bank of Australia forecast
US, China trade "handshake for a framework" not generating enthusiasm in Asia trade
- Mix in the court order allowing Trump's tariffs to proceed unhindered
AUDUSD approaches major resistance: Is a breakout coming?
- The swing highs from 2025. The 61.8% retracement. Swing highs from November are all in play on the topside.
Australian May 2025 Business confidence +2, prior -1
- National Australia Bank business survey
Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence for June 2025 rises 0.5% m/m to 92.6
- Prior -2.2% to 92.1
AUDUSD technical update: Price trapped between key swing zones
- Close support at 0.6500. Stay above keeps the firm bias in the favor of the buyers. Move below, and sellers may look to push lower on the failed break (again)
AUD/USD probes for a seven-month high
- The Australian dollar tests the top end of the range
Commodity currencies climb as Xi and Trump hold a phone call
- Still waiting for details and readout. Big moment in markets
Australian April goods exports -2.4% m/m (prior +7.6%)
- Australian trade balance data for April 2025
TD add another RBA 2025 interest rate cut to their forecast: 25bp cut in August, November
- TD add that the Reserve Bank of Australia could cut in July, an 'insurance' move
Australian Q1 2025 GDP 0.2% q/q (vs. expected 0.4%)
- There were some estimates revised sharply lower going into this data
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