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rba Reserve Bank of Australia Australia Australian dollar aud 2
Forex

Australian dollar gets a lift as the RBA delivers on a hawkish rate hike today

  • The RBA becomes the first major central bank to raise interest rates this year
Justin Low
03/02/2026 | 04:19 GMT
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Justin Low
03/02/2026 | 04:19 GMT
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Central Banks
aud response to rba 25bp rate hike on February 3 2026
Central Banks

RBA unanimous 25bp hike, lifts inflation forecasts and signals more tightening in 2026

  • The forecast cash-rate path (3.9% by June, 4.2% by December) reinforces a higher-for-longer bias and is AUD- and front-end-supportive, though the Bank’s explicit uncertainty on restrictiveness keeps pricing sensitive to near-term inflation prints.
Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 03:38 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 03:38 GMT
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Central Banks
RBA
Central Banks

RBA raises its cash rate by 25bp to 3.85%, as widely expected

  • Was not a unanimous expectation
Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 03:30 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 03:30 GMT
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Central Banks
rba Reserve Bank of Australia Australia Australian dollar aud 2
Central Banks

ANZ sees RBA 25bp rate hike today, but no commitment to further tightening

  • A February hike would support the AUD near term, but ANZ’s emphasis on flexible guidance suggests limited upside unless inflation continues to surprise.
Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 01:28 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 01:28 GMT
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News
aud building permtis response 03 February 2026
News

Australian December 2025 building permits -14.9% m/m (expected -5.7%)

  • Just the data post
Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 00:34 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
03/02/2026 | 00:34 GMT
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Forex
AUDUSD
Forex

Australian dollar chops as we await a pivotal RBA decision

  • Australian dollar down 20 pips on the day
Adam Button
02/02/2026 | 19:16 GMT
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Adam Button
02/02/2026 | 19:16 GMT
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Forex
Market pulse flat
Forex

Market outlook for the week of 2nd-6th February

  • Highlights of the week include RBA, BoE and ECB monetary policy announcements, as well as labor market data from the U.S. and Canada
Gina Constantin
02/02/2026 | 08:51 GMT
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Gina Constantin
02/02/2026 | 08:51 GMT
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Central Banks
aud Australia job ads chart update 02 February 2026
Central Banks

Australia job ads jump 4.4% in January, strengthening case for RBA hike tomorrow

  • The sharp rebound in job ads reinforces labour-market resilience, supporting higher rate expectations and limiting near-term downside for the AUD and front-end yields.
Eamonn Sheridan
02/02/2026 | 01:38 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
02/02/2026 | 01:38 GMT
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Central Banks
aud inflation 02 February 2026 chart
Central Banks

Melbourne Institute inflation gauge ticks up to 3.6% y/y, keeping RBA hike risk alive

  • The softer monthly rise helps at the margin, but the higher annual pace supports the “sticky inflation” narrative, leaving the AUD and front-end rates sensitive to the RBA expected hike.
Eamonn Sheridan
02/02/2026 | 00:14 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
02/02/2026 | 00:14 GMT
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News
Australia January 2026 manufacturing pmi 2
News

Australia manufacturing PMI hits five-month high as growth accelerates in January

  • The stronger PMI reinforces signs of domestic growth resilience, though rising cost pressures and supply constraints may complicate the inflation outlook and policy expectations.
Eamonn Sheridan
01/02/2026 | 22:42 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
01/02/2026 | 22:42 GMT
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Forex
westpac
Forex

Westpac trade recap: Doubling down on the antipodeans

  • Westpac Trade Update: Bullish AUD/NZD, Short USD into the RBA
Adam Button
29/01/2026 | 18:23 GMT
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Adam Button
29/01/2026 | 18:23 GMT
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Stock market update
aud updater china property 29 January 2026
Stock market update

China property shares jump on report of easing “three red lines” rules

  • The rally underscores how sensitive markets remain to signs of China policy easing, with positive spillovers for commodities, regional equities and China-linked currencies such as the Australian dollar
Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 03:22 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 03:22 GMT
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Central Banks
rba Reserve Bank of Australia Australia Australian dollar aud 2
Central Banks

Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank forecast Reserve Bank of Australia on hold next week

  • A February RBA hike would deepen Australia’s policy divergence from global peers, supporting the AUD and front-end yields, while a hold risks sharp repricing given how fully tightening expectations are priced.
Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 02:45 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 02:45 GMT
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Central Banks
audusd update 29 January 2026 2
Central Banks

MUFG, CBA see February RBA rate hike as inflation lifts and AUD finds support

  • Firming RBA hike expectations are supporting the Australian dollar and front-end rates, though markets remain alert to the risk that persistent inflation could force additional tightening later in the year.
Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 01:51 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 01:51 GMT
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News
Australian export prices q4 2025 2
News

Australia’s Q4 trade prices lift terms of trade as export prices rebound

  • An improving terms-of-trade profile is generally supportive for the AUD and national income, though rising import prices may add to inflation considerations for policymakers.
Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 00:35 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/01/2026 | 00:35 GMT
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