You would be hard-pressed to find a better four-month run in US stocks, ever

  • Scarcely a bad day to be found

Since October 27, the S&P 500 has rallied 24.7%.

It's an incredible achievement as the world's largest stock market (by far) increases its value by one quarter. Nvidia alone was 33% of the gain, but that's another story.

What stands out about this rally for me is the steadiness of it. There's hardly a down day and when there is, it's modest and that's despite the market pricing out around 80 bps in cuts for this year. It's a truly astonishing rally and we're only just stepping into a strong seasonal period.

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