USD/JPY stages a comeback alongside bonds

  • USD/JPY recovers about half of the post-PMI loss
USDJPY Aug 23 fibonacci technical analysis

USD/JPY is on the comeback trail. I wrote earlier that the US dollar moved looked overdone given that front-end yields hadn't even given up the gains from the past two days. Now we've seen yields pare that move and USD/JPY cut today's decline in half.

The pair is still down 70 pips but at 136.77, it's near the 61.8% retracement of the sharp move lower on the data.

Equities have stabilized and some market participants might be re-thinking putting too much weight on one PMI release.

Technically, it's a clear 'go with' on a break above the current highs and a fade if that can't take place. Watch for corroboration from stocks and bonds.

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