USDCHF falls to swing area support and finds buyers on the first look

  • Support level defined at 0.7938 to 0.7947. The first test today found modest buying. What next?

The USDCHF moved lower today, pressured by the release of weaker US Empire manufacturing data. The decline took the pair down to a low of 0.7945, where price action found buyers.

That level is notable because it sits inside a swing area between 0.79382 and 0.79471. Buyers have leaned against this zone before, and once again it provided support, leading to a modest bounce higher.

Going forward, this area remains a critical barometer for both buyers and sellers:

  • A break below 0.79382 would open the door for further downside, with scope to test 0.7910 to 0.79209.

  • On the upside, short-term resistance comes in at 0.79556 – a prior swing low from September 5 and close to today’s Asian session low.

  • A sustained move above 0.79556 would shift the bias higher and put the focus back on the 100-hour moving average at 0.79698.

For now, the market is caught between these well-defined levels, with traders waiting for a clearer break to set the next directional move.

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