USDCAD buyers in control above the 50% retracement and a key swing area.

  • The 100-day MA is the next hurdle for the buyers at 1.3557

The USDCAD moved sharply higher yesterday after the better than expected US CPI data. The run to the upside extended above its 100-day moving average 1.3557. However the price rotated back to the downside in trading today, and move back below that moving average level.

The corrective move lower returned to retest a key swing area between 1.3526 and 1.35428. Support buyers did show up in that area, which has helped push the price back to the upside where the 100-day moving average is being retested in the early North American session.

Going forward, if the buyers are to remain in control, staying above the 1.3526 – 1.35428 would need to hold support. Conversely, sellers who are skeptical of the last move and break higher, will be eyeing the 100-day moving average 1.3557 for bias-defining clues. Staying below keeps sellers in the game, with hopes of a move below 1.3526. Moving above would not be good from a technical and bias-defining perspective

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