Gold fights to get back above $4000

  • The gold bugs aren't dead
gold technical analysis

If I'm putting on my gold technical analysis cap, then this chart is probably the right way to look at it.

We had a near--parabolic run through all-time highs and now we're in a retracement phase. Yesterday, we bounced from the 38.2% retracement of the Aug-Oct rally and today we came close to testing the 50% level.

I like leaning against that 50% zone with a stop below the 61.8% level at $3723 but on the fundamental side, the incremental dollar is piling into technology right now and Trump is making nice with China. That's a bit of a tough tape to counter so I wouldn't rush to buy this dip.

Caution hasn't been a great strategy for gold so far this year though as it's been more of a YOLO trade until recently. The bulls have proven remarkably eager to buy dips. Today we're $80 off the lows and at the best levels of US trading. If gold can close above $4000 I'll be curious to see how Asia reacts.

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