Gold Futures Analysis for Today with tradeCompass (September 4, 2025)
Gold futures map for today: activation rules at 3,600, bullish above 3,622, bearish below 3,597.8 (after a pop over 3,600). Targets and risk plan inside.
Summary (quick map)
Instrument: Gold futures (GC)
Current price: 3,588.3 (≈–1.3% vs yesterday’s close)
Compass rule: No signals until price first reclaims 3,600.
Bullish above: 3,622 (only after price first trades ≥3,600)
Bearish below: 3,597.8 (only after price first trades ≥3,600)
Primary bias: Neutral until 3,600 is retaken; leaning for a test of 3,600 before decision.
Gold Futures Market context & directional bias
Gold backed off the fresh all-time high at 3,640.1 and sliced through the 3,600 round number. Buyers showed interest around the September 2 VAH, which is where support firmed up. It’s reasonable to expect a retrace toward 3,600; after that, the next decisive move should emerge.
For today’s tradeCompass we enforce discipline: nothing activates unless price first trades back at/above 3,600. From there, we’ll either confirm renewed strength above 3,622, or a pop-and-fade back under 3,597.8 to hand control to sellers.
Activation rules (read carefully) for Today's Gold Traders
Step 1: Gold futures price must trade ≥ 3,600. No setups before that on this map.
Step 2A (Bullish): If later > 3,622, bulls take control.
Step 2B (Bearish): If after reclaiming 3,600, price falls below 3,597.8, bears take control (classic fade of the 3,600 retest).
Gold Futures Key levels & partial-profit plan
Bullish sequence (only after > 3,622) for Gold Today:
3,628 — Close, logical first scale; prior micro resistance/magnet effect.
3,631 — Just under yesterday’s VAH; typical reaction zone, take more risk off.
3,640.5 — New-high vicinity; expect profit-taking/liquidity games.
3,650 — Round-number extension; stretch target if momentum persists.
Bearish sequence (only after ≥ 3,600 then < 3,597.8) for Gold Today:
3,591.2 — Tight first scale to cut risk quickly after trigger.
3,579 — Prior response area; often a pause/micro bounce zone.
3,575 — Just above the Sep 2 VAH; support-to-resistance flip potential.
3,566 — In line with Sep 2 VWAP; fair-value magnet intraday.
3,551.2 — Above Sep 2 POC and Sep 1 VAH; confluence makes it sticky.
3,539.6 — Just above Sep 1 VWAP; deeper mean-revert objective.
Heads-up: If we settle into a distribution range ~3,650–3,550, expect multiple legs both ways. Use the scalping targets to bank partials rather than hunting only for the final stop on the map.
“How to use this map”
Treat this as your navigation tool, not a signal generator. If price is hovering just under a threshold and fails to sustain above it, that often argues for the opposite side (e.g., a short near 3,600 if it can’t hold). Once a side triggers, work the partial targets to reduce risk and let a remainder run only if momentum confirms.
Quick education: VWAP & Volume Profile (why these levels matter)
VWAP (volume-weighted average price) is the session’s volume-anchored “fair value.” Price tends to revert to VWAP in balance and separate from it in trend. That’s why VWAP (and nearby bands) make sensible scale-out or re-entry zones.
Volume Profile maps where trading concentrated. POC (point of control) is the most-traded price—often a magnet—while Value Area High/Low (VAH/VAL) bracket the bulk of participation. Moves toward VAH/VAL commonly slow, and clean breaks can accelerate if volume confirms.
Learning to read these reference points helps newer traders anchor decisions in objective structure instead of chasing candles.
Trade management reminders (tradeCompass method)
One trade per direction per tradeCompass plan.
Scale out at partial targets; after first partial, move stop to entry or better.
Stop placement should be logical to the threshold that validated the idea—never beyond the opposite threshold.
Confirmation is flexible: some prefer a couple of closes beyond the trigger, others use a timed confirmation (e.g., 5–15 minutes). Match it to your risk tolerance.
Don't Jump the Gun
No activation if 3,600 isn’t reclaimed. Patience first, trades second.
If 3,600 is retaken and fails, the bearish fade < 3,597.8 can develop into a swing toward the deeper targets listed.
If strength persists above 3,622, use the bullish ladder and let the market prove it can revisit the high zone.
This analysis uses the advanced volume-profiling and fair-value mapping approach we apply in tradeCompass on investingLive.com (formerly ForexLive.com).
Disclaimer: This is decision support, not investment advice. Futures and CFDs are risky; you can lose more than your initial stake. Always size positions prudently, use stops, and trade at your own risk.