Dow Jones Technical Analysis for Today with tradeCompass (September 25, 2025)
Bullish above: 46,535
Bearish below: 46,485
Price at the time of this analysis: 46,410 (0.07% below yesterday’s close)
Dow Jones Market Context and Directional Bias
Dow Jones futures are currently trading around 46,410, just under yesterday’s close and beneath today’s bearish threshold of 46,485. That places the index in bearish territory according to tradeCompass.
Some traders may choose to wait for a retracement toward 46,460 before entering shorts, while others may prefer scaling into a position earlier, even at lower levels. This flexibility is central to tradeCompass — it provides a navigational framework while leaving room for traders to adapt the plan to their style and time frame.
As backdrop, European equity markets opened quietly, with EuroStoxx futures flat this morning. In the U.S., recent sessions have seen profit-taking hit stock markets, with the S&P 500 pulling back after its run higher. That context reinforces the caution on the Dow as price trades within bearish bounds.
Today’s Dow Jones Futures Key Levels and Partial-Profit Strategy
Bearish plan:
46,386 – First profit target, aligning with VWAP standard deviations and just above the September 17th Point of Control. Watch for potential bounce risk here.
46,340 – Next downside level, in line with the September 17th VWAP.
46,265 – Deeper target, further reinforcing bearish structure.
46,196 – Distant extension target.
46,045 – Swing-trade target, tied to the September 16th Value Area Low and September 17th low.
Bullish plan (only valid above 46,535):
46,583 – First upside level, just under yesterday’s VWAP.
46,634 – Next target, matching September 18–19 Value Area High.
46,682 – Yesterday’s Point of Control.
46,775 – Confluence of Value Area Highs (Sept 22, 24) and the VWAP from Sept 23.
46,860 – Extended exit point for aggressive bulls.
Educational Corner: Partial Profits and Trade Defense
A key principle of the tradeCompass approach is scaling out of trades. Rather than waiting for one distant target that may never materialize, taking partial profits at logical levels helps reduce exposure and makes your position more resilient against market reversals. After hitting the second profit target (TP2), stop losses should be moved to entry (breakeven) to secure gains while leaving room for a “runner” to capture extended moves.
Trade Management Reminders
One trade per direction per tradeCompass map.
Stops should never be placed beyond the opposite threshold. For bears today, stops must stay below 46,535.
Consider a buffer (e.g., around 46,500) if you prefer slightly more breathing room, but keep it disciplined.
Always adjust stops to entry after partial profits to protect gains.
Disclaimer
This Dow Jones analysis is for educational and decision-support purposes only. It is not financial advice. Futures trading carries significant risk, and losses can exceed initial capital. Always trade at your own risk and align any trade plan with your personal strategy and risk tolerance. Visit investingLive.com, formerly ForexLive.com, for additional perspectives.
