USDJPY dips below midpoint of last week's move higher

Steps lower in trading today

The USDJPY has been forced lower on the back of concerns about trade, weaker data today (housing and empire manufacturing) and a negative technical picture.

At the Asian session high today, the pair stalled at a swing area in the 113.495-517. The fall from there took the price below the:

  • 100 hour MA at 113.407
  • Trend line at 113.229
  • 38.2% and 200 hour MA at 113.12-14, and most recently the
  • 50% at 112.969.

The price has moved to a low of 112.865. The 61.8% comes in at 112.796 and is the next downside target in the bearish progression.

The price - as I type - has been trading above and below the 50% level and below the 113.00 level. That is close risk for shorts now.

Above that, the 200 hour MA and 38.2% at 113.12-14 is another key level to stay below IF the sellers are to remain in control.

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