Forex technical analysis: USDJPY extension above the 200 hour MA is failing

Reversal on the break

The USDJPY moved above its 200 hour MA for the 1st time today since March 15th at 111.28. The high extended to 111.538 - short of the highs from last Wednesday at 111.587 - but we have just seen a quick reversal back below the MA line and currently trades at 111.16. The break above is failing.

I am not sure what caused the quick reversal but activity has become choppy as a result and the buyers are failing on their attempt to take control above the MA level. Bearish.

US stocks are opening around unchanged levels.

WTI crude oil peaked above $50.00 to $50.05 (currently at $49.92)

Gold is down $4.50 but off the lows

US 10 year yield is up 1.6 bps to 2.3927%

HMMMM

There are reports that 1B of options go off at 111.00. We are currently approaching that level. We may find support around the level as a result.

UPDATE: There is a report that Trump is looking into currency manipulators. The "I want a lower dollar" rhetoric seem to be weakening the dollar...

The EURUSD has also reversed higher after its fall below the 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart.

PS Fed Mester will speak at 9:45 AM ET. Fed's Williams speaks at 11;15 AM ET and Kaplan speaks at 2:00 PM ET.

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