Trump auto tariffs deal won't boost Tesla, as deeper concerns weigh on stock

  • Tesla EPS outlook slashed 85% vs 2022; tech delays, Musk's political activity, and weak chart weigh on stock, down 21% YTD

Evercore analysts remain hopeful that the Trump administration will eventually strike a tariff agreement that benefits automakers, but hold a more cautious view on Tesla.

Notes several concerns on TSLA

  • Tesla’s long-term earnings outlook continues to decline
  • projected 2026 earnings per share now roughly 85% lower than estimates made in 2022
  • flagged issues including a lacklustre rollout of autonomous vehicle technology, Elon Musk’s politically charged social media activity, and technical indicators that suggest the stock may be approaching a negative trend
  • Tesla shares are down over 21% year to date

Expects Tesla’s second-quarter earnings to come in between 38 and 40 cents per share, below the Wall Street consensus of 44 cents.

tsla tesla robotaxi 11 July 2025 2

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