UBS sees S&P 500 hitting 5,800 by year-end, citing easing tariffs and Fed cuts

  • UBS sees brighter medium-term outlook for U.S. equities despite near-term volatility

UBS says the medium-term outlook for U.S. equities is turning more constructive, even as market volatility is expected to persist in the near term. Via a note from analysts at the firm on Monday:

  • “[W]e believe the medium-term outlook is positive for US stocks, supported by likely tariff moderation, Federal Reserve rate cuts, and structural growth themes,”
  • UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 5,800 by year-end under its base case, pointing to a supportive backdrop of easing trade tensions and central bank policy shifts.
  • While short-term swings are likely to continue, the bank sees improving fundamentals driving further gains into 2025.
Weekly candles S&P 500 06 May 2025 2

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