JP Morgan says the Fed is too restrictive, cuts ahead, but cautious; Magnificent 7 strong

  • Limited Fed cuts may temper rate-sensitive sectors, but resilient U.S. growth and strong big tech earnings keep equities supported, with rotation toward broader S&P 500 gains expected in the longer term.
magnificent 7 lead but S&P 500 rotation

J.P. Morgan asset management global market strategist Jack Manley spoke in an interview with Fox. In brief:

  • believes the Fed’s current policy stance is too restrictive given the mixed signals in the economy
  • sees justification for starting a rate-cut cycle
  • doubts the Fed will cut aggressively because labor markets remain tight, wages are growing, and consumers overall are resilient
  • Manley says that low- and middle-income households are under strain, stresses that higher earners drive most of the economy’s momentum

On markets,

  • highlights the durability of the Magnificent 7 earnings story but expects a longer-term rotation toward broader S&P 500 participation, with earnings growth between big tech and the rest converging by 2026

The full interview is here:

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