Goldman Sachs lifts MSCI EM target, sees EMFX outperform G10

  • Goldman Sachs has raised its MSCI EM Index 12-month target to 1,480 and expects EMFX to outperform G10 currencies, citing favorable carry, resilient growth, and strong capital flows. The bank sees a supportive environment for emerging markets into year-end.
Goldman Sachs sized 22 July 2025 2

Goldman Sachs sees a supportive backdrop for emerging markets into year-end, underpinned by easier global financial conditions, resilient growth, and supportive capital flows. The bank lifted its 12-month target for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index to 1,480, citing stronger earnings momentum and improving investor sentiment.

Goldman also expects emerging-market currencies to outperform their G10 counterparts as carry trades and cyclical dynamics favor higher-yielding assets.

  • see relative value in EMFX as policy easing cycles are already advanced and external balances remain resilient

The bank’s constructive stance reflects confidence in both macro and micro drivers: robust corporate earnings, healthier balance sheets, and structural growth themes. It suggests investors position for further upside in EM equities and currencies into 2026, using dips to build exposure.

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