White House believes CPI will be high due to the flow-through impact of higher oil price

Info comes via a reporter for Fox:

  • White House Official telling me they expect headline inflation will be elevated because gas prices were 8.5% were greater in April than May. The White House Official says that will seep into CORE inflation through airline tickets because of the price of jet fuel
  • A White House Official telling me they believe that inflation will moderate and finish lower at the end of this year than the rate at the end of 2021.
  • White House Official tells me the gains in the labor market & demand for goods don’t indicate we are in a recession. They said it is “very unlikely”. Official says the administration is in a “good spot to transition” the economy to stable growth
  • White House Official tells me they are tracking a shift is spending habits from buying goods to buying services. They believe that shift will relieve pressure on supply chains as money moves from buying stuff to buying services.

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IMO - It won't just be jet fuel that higher energy costs flow through to.

us cpi 10 June 2022


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