US December PCE core +2.8% vs +2.8% expected

  • Highlights of the US December PCE report
US Core PCE YoY
US Core PCE YoY

Core PCE (excluding food & energy):

  • Prior was +2.8%
  • Core m/m +0.2% vs +0.2% exp
  • Unrounded core PCE +0.156% vs +0.1149% m/m prior
  • PCE excluding food, energy and housing +0.2% m/m vs +0.1% m/m prior

Headline PCE:

  • Headline PCE +2.6% y/y vs +2.6% expected
  • Deflator +0.3% m/m vs +0.3% expected
  • Unrounded headline +0.2557% vs +0.128% m/m prior

Consumer spending and income for December:

  • Personal income +0.4% vs +0.4% expected. Prior month +0.3%
  • Personal spending +0.7% vs +0.5% expected. Prior month +0.4% (revised to +0.6%)
  • Real personal spending +0.4% vs +0.3% prior
  • Savings rate 3.8% vs 4.4% prior

The unrounded core PCE number almost made it to +0.1% but overall these numbers are in-line with estimates. The other standout is the strength in the consumer, which also isn't a big surprise given the high consumption reading in yesterday's PCE report.

Overall, the US dollar is little changed on the report.

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