US business inventories vs 1.2% vs 1.1%

  • US inventory data
  • Prior was +0.7% (revised to +0.8%)
  • Retail inventories ex autos +0.5% vs +0.4% prior
  • Sales +2.1% vs +1.2% prior
  • Inventory to sales ratio 1.24 months vs 1.26 prior

I expect a large build in US inventories once supply chain issues are sorted out and that will be an unceasing tailwind through 2022 and perhaps 2023.

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