Core:
- Prior was +2.9%
- Core m/m +0.2% vs +0.2% exp
- Unrounded core PCE +0.227%
- Supercore (services ex-shelter) +3.4%
- Services inflation+3.6% y/y and +0.325% m/m
Headline PCE:
- Headline PCE 2.7% vs 2.7 exp
- Deflator +0.3% m/m vs +0.3% exp
- Unrounded m/m +0.265%
Consumer spending and income for August :
- Personal income +0.4% vs +0.3% expected. Prior month +0.4%
- Personal spending +0.6% vs +0.5% expected. Prior month +0.5%
- Real personal spending +0.4% vs +0.4% prior
- Savings rate 4.6% vs 4.8% prior
The year-over-year core PCE number really highlights the Fed's problem. This isn't the pre-covid period anymore.
PCE core yy