US August NFIB small business optimism index 100.8 vs 101.0 expected

  • Latest data released by NFIB - 9 September 2025
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The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.5 points in August to 100.8, nearly 3 points above the 52-year average of 98. Of the 10 Optimism Index components, four increased, four decreased, and two were unchanged. The increase in those expecting real sales to be higher contributed the most to the rise in the Optimism Index. The Uncertainty Index fell by 4 points to 93 but remained well above the historical average. The decline was due to a decrease in uncertainty about financing expectations and planned capital expenditures.

NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg said: "Optimism increased slightly in August with more owners reporting stronger sales expectations and improved earnings. While owners have cited an improvement in overall business health, labor quality remained the top issue on Main Street."

This and other business surveys have been positive. The slowdown fears have been coming just from the labour market which remains frozen with low layoffs and low hiring.

US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

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