UK October CPI +3.6% vs +3.6% y/y expected

  • Latest data released by ONS - 19 November 2025
UK INFLATION PRICES
  • Prior +3.8%
  • Core CPI +3.4% vs +3.4% y/y expected
  • Prior +3.5%
  • Services CPI +4.5 vs 4.6% y/y expected
  • Prior +4.7%

The figures are in line with expectations, except the services measure which was lower than expected. The market was already pricing an 80% probability of a rate cut in December, so the data is not going to materially change things even though we should see the probabilities strengthen.

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