UK May monthly GDP -0.1% vs +0.1% m/m expected

  • Latest data released by ONS - 11 July 2025
  • Prior -0.3%
  • Services +0.1% vs +0.1% m/m expected
  • Prior -0.4%; revised to -0.3%
  • Industrial output -0.9% vs 0.0% m/m expected
  • Prior -0.6%
  • Manufacturing output -1.0% vs -0.1% m/m expected
  • Prior -0.9%; revised to -0.7%
  • Construction output -0.6% vs +0.2% m/m expected
  • Prior +0.9%; revised to +0.8%

The drag in UK GDP on the month largely comes from the industrial side as services contributed with just marginal growth. A further slowdown in the economy will only serve to fan the fires of another rate cut by the BOE sooner rather than later.

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