US midterm elections are now less than one year away on November 3, 2026 and Trump is getting some bad news.
The latest poll from CNN/SSRS shows Trump’s disapproval rating is at 63%. That's the highest of either term and -- incredibly -- one point above his previous high of 62% as he was leaving office in January 2021 following the Capitol riots.
For Trump that's a tough look despite records in the stock market and a decent jobs market. If anything goes wrong in either of those, it could get ugly. Here's how Fox Business' Charlie Gasparino sees it:
The weak underbelly of the Trump presidency is what the tariffs are doing to working class voters who don’t speculated in markets. There is some latent inflation—prices for basic goods remain elevated and the tariffs make them sticky on the upside. Employment gains are good but not great. AI productivity helps but they carry wicked short term risks in terms of unemployment. For Trump, this needs to get sorted before the midterms
At the same time, it's not as dire for Republicans as it sounds because Democrats also have terrible numbers. They have a 5-point advantage on the generic ballot but that's well short of the 11 point edge they had at this point in the 2018 midterms -- when they took the House from Republicans.
In any case, it's all somewhat prescient today as New Yorkers vote today in a contest that features a candidate with a different vision for the Democratic party.
