Talk of $100 too hot to handle for oil bulls?

  • WTI crude slides back below $90 on the day

Well, perhaps the spotlight and attention is not something oil bulls are liking at the moment especially after the hot start to the new week yesterday. WTI crude briefly hit above $92 to its highest levels since November last year before a quick retreat and now another over 1% fall back below $90 on the day:

WTI D1 20-09
WTI crude oil daily chart

It is a temporary setback after all the hopes and bullish fundamental talks and considering the lack of other major headlines, I'd say this reeks of profit-taking mostly. I mean oil has been on a rather unrelenting push higher since the latter of stages of last month, up from $80 all the way to above $90 last week.

For now, the near-term chart shows that buyers still have some room to fall back on at least. The break below $90 today sees a drop below the 100-hour moving average at $90.45 but not yet below the 200-hour moving average at $89.10. The latter is the key near-term level to watch for a change in bias. Fall below and the near-term outlook switches to being more bearish but hold above and buyers are still in it with a shout.

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